Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 7.917059 8.813499 9.820475 11.045924 12.511450 14.226762 16.415049
2025-01-19 6.392493 7.519552 8.898159 10.747080 13.225210 16.532992 21.474769
2025-01-26 5.620236 6.849319 8.439437 10.720546 14.045125 18.967134 27.393465
2025-02-02 5.367340 6.756684 8.650813 11.552003 16.158562 23.793679 39.167313
2025-02-09 5.077437 6.554927 8.654460 12.047784 17.847367 28.505905 53.777266
2025-02-16 4.726932 6.216144 8.398453 12.073338 18.732020 32.076359 68.842153
2025-02-23 4.508259 6.038092 8.350186 12.411477 20.242592 37.538390 94.922276
2025-03-02 4.152644 5.618902 7.873766 11.931748 20.049551 39.089011 110.727909
2025-03-09 3.879329 5.301143 7.524936 11.623913 20.133277 41.383052 133.531381
2025-03-16 3.673045 5.069917 7.292869 11.493476 20.563984 44.837850 169.783745
2025-03-23 3.582481 5.012219 7.341576 11.897049 22.299009 53.159759 265.858568
2025-03-30 3.381501 4.762112 7.037360 11.563336 22.194996 55.511277 329.737297
2025-04-06 3.153668 4.469364 6.661813 11.096175 21.809964 57.320477 415.382636
2025-04-13 2.966385 4.234445 6.374668 10.787929 21.812087 60.954491 586.484839
2025-04-20 2.838137 4.087964 6.231382 10.760892 22.574546 68.624320 1069.692858
2025-04-27 2.833217 4.147324 6.467199 11.597041 26.131246 94.932937 9282.837133
2025-05-04 2.783439 4.124881 6.546370 12.095708 28.926539 124.094805 NaN
2025-05-11 2.684980 4.009710 6.434857 12.121413 30.164229 146.173096 NaN
2025-05-18 2.626515 3.961267 6.449432 12.461555 32.735198 190.349458 NaN
2025-05-25 2.492494 3.768644 6.158684 11.978991 31.926331 195.637283 NaN
2025-06-01 2.384618 3.618249 5.943750 11.669365 31.748893 210.259941 NaN
2025-06-08 2.300949 3.507810 5.802868 11.538176 32.298981 239.642426 NaN
2025-06-15 2.270170 3.492733 5.857729 11.944089 35.439774 340.692175 NaN